Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.718117 3.961420 4.223552 4.528977 4.877718 5.266795 5.738479
2025-03-30 3.370062 3.697232 4.070192 4.533725 5.104779 5.800449 6.738174
2025-04-06 3.067369 3.439719 3.882973 4.463335 5.226402 6.234299 7.746024
2025-04-13 2.787113 3.176539 3.655509 4.308809 5.215117 6.500294 8.635532
2025-04-20 2.649925 3.073750 3.614151 4.386564 5.529463 7.304758 10.715530
2025-04-27 2.535970 2.988264 3.584220 4.474665 5.879768 8.287450 13.816647
2025-05-04 2.466263 2.953050 3.616630 4.656544 6.421977 9.838794 20.058823
2025-05-11 2.370799 2.873744 3.577703 4.724099 6.795130 11.285918 29.619143
2025-05-18 2.267845 2.775181 3.500166 4.718001 7.036807 12.620279 45.940631
2025-05-25 2.131915 2.620409 3.325297 4.527082 6.875474 12.850611 59.138104
2025-06-01 2.035870 2.516820 3.219736 4.442045 6.916460 13.730996 102.184435
2025-06-08 1.960076 2.437780 3.145406 4.402212 7.047667 15.048117 372.810650
2025-06-15 1.895122 2.378066 3.107930 4.446637 7.444054 18.126721 NaN
2025-06-22 1.821479 2.301298 3.037764 4.423469 7.689025 21.273520 NaN
2025-06-29 1.742162 2.211600 2.940035 4.335896 7.752729 23.919132 NaN
2025-07-06 1.656522 2.107964 2.812372 4.174939 7.577632 24.906794 NaN
2025-07-13 1.616642 2.072451 2.795922 4.237085 8.076320 33.786058 NaN
2025-07-20 1.581460 2.042015 2.785433 4.310930 8.664368 51.369490 NaN
2025-07-27 1.561538 2.034196 2.813242 4.473425 9.675633 130.155327 NaN
2025-08-03 1.527786 2.002148 2.795217 4.530609 10.362157 931.689033 NaN
2025-08-10 1.487764 1.957763 2.751360 4.520781 10.784099 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.429198 1.880571 2.642600 4.341124 10.348365 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.386643 1.828062 2.576722 4.260202 10.365975 NaN NaN